paycalculator
Australia · FY26-27

FIRE calculator

How many years until you can stop working? Three views: savings-rate hook, AU-aware accumulation projection, and historical 30-year withdrawal success rate.

paycalculator · /fire

When can you stop working?

One input. Years to financial independence — based on your savings rate.

Savings rate47%
1%50%95%
18.0
years to financial independence

Based on a 5% real return and 4% safe withdrawal rate.

Accumulation projection
Net pay
$90,812
after AU tax
Saved
$42,812
47% rate
Super @ SG
$14,400
12.0% of gross
Real return5.0%
$0$3.1M$6.3M$9.4M$12.6MFI · 204120262076
SuperOutside superFI in 15 years · portfolio $1.3M
Withdrawal success rate
99%of historical 30-year retirements would have survived

Starting portfolio $1,282,686 · withdrawing $48,000/year (real). Based on 96 years of US large-cap real total returns (1928–2023).

SurvivedMarginalClose callDepleted
192866/67 cycles survived1994

Frequently asked questions

What is FIRE?

FIRE — Financial Independence, Retire Early — is the point at which your invested portfolio can sustainably cover your annual expenses. The standard heuristic is the 4% safe withdrawal rate: when your portfolio is roughly 25× your annual spending, you can retire.

How does the savings-rate slider work?

Years to FI is a closed-form function of one input — your savings rate — once you assume a real return and a withdrawal rate. At a 50% savings rate, 5% real return and 4% withdrawal rate, you reach FI in roughly 17 years. Higher savings rate means fewer years.

Are the projections in today's dollars?

Yes. The accumulation chart and the historical-cycle simulation both use real (inflation-adjusted) returns, so every figure is in today's purchasing power. There's no need to inflate your expense number.

Where does the historical dataset come from?

96 years of US large-cap real (inflation-adjusted) total returns from 1928 to 2023. The same window academic studies use to benchmark long-horizon withdrawal strategies.

How is Australian super handled?

The accumulation projection treats Super Guarantee contributions as a separate compounding bucket. SG flows in at the current FY rate (12% from 1 July 2025) on top of your gross income. It's combined with outside-super savings when checking whether the 4% rule covers your expenses.

Is this financial advice?

No. paycalculator/fire is a generic estimation tool. It does not account for your individual circumstances, taxes on withdrawals, sequence-of-returns risk strategies, or unforeseen expenses. Talk to a licensed Australian financial adviser before making decisions.

Estimates only. Real returns assumed constant in projection; historical cycles use 96 years of US large-cap real total returns (1928–2023). Not financial advice.